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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2019-05-12T19:54:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2019-05-12T19:54Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/14748/-1
CME Note: There is no clear signature arrival for this specific CME. The arrival attributed to the 2019-05-13T16:09Z CME is also very weak and difficult to be certain about it.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-05-18T00:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 70.0%
Prediction Method: DBM + ESWF
Prediction Method Note:

Model & CME input parameters:

CME arrival time (in UTC) at Earth (lower 95% Confidence Interval, CI

Lead Time: 108.62 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Manuela Temmer (UNIGRAZ) on 2019-05-13T11:23Z

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